This is a review-only candidate/context cache for Monthly Treasury Statement fiscal-year-to-date metrics. These rows are not merged into the approved 23-row candidate display by this script.
Display note: FYTD = fiscal year-to-date. Red trend text marks an unfavorable directional movement for context review only. Red does not mean the metric is scored, failed, or publicly graded.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Generated UTC | 2026-05-22T21:36:59Z |
| Rows Reviewed | 3 |
| MTS Value Rows | 3 |
| Conditional Merge-Eligible After Human Approval | 3 |
| Review-Only / Not Merged Rows | 3 |
| Source Status | FALLBACK REVIEW ONLY NEEDS LIVE API CONFIRMATION |
| Blockers | 0 |
| Scoring | Disabled |
| Release Status | CANDIDATE ONLY MTS FYTD CACHE READY FOR REVIEW NO SCORING |
| Milestone | MTS FYTD CANDIDATE CACHE READY FOR REVIEW |
| Review CSV | MTS FYTD Candidate Cache Review CSV |
| Metric ID | Candidate Metric | Latest Value | Observation Period | Trend | Trend Window | Direction Review | Source | Limitation / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDD-MET-029 | Fiscal year-to-date deficit compared with prior fiscal year-to-date deficit | deficit $954.0 billion | FY2026 YTD through April | -$92.7 billion (-8.9%) | FY2026 YTD through April vs FY2025 YTD through April | Improving if deficit is smaller or surplus is larger; worsening if deficit is larger or surplus is smaller. Context-only; not scored. | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data - Monthly Treasury Statement | Monthly FYTD values can be affected by timing shifts, calendar effects, tax-payment seasonality, benefit-payment timing, and later revisions. Status: MTS FYTD CANDIDATE CACHE REVIEW ONLY NOT MERGED CONDITIONAL AFTER HUMAN VALUE AND METHOD APPROVAL Scoring disabled |
| NDD-MET-030 | Fiscal year-to-date receipts compared with prior fiscal year-to-date receipts | $3.32 trillion | FY2026 YTD through April | +$217.2 billion (+7.0%) | FY2026 YTD through April vs FY2025 YTD through April | Higher receipts can improve fiscal balance but may reflect economic conditions, timing, tax policy, or one-time effects. Context-only; not scored. | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data - Monthly Treasury Statement | Receipts are seasonal and affected by filing deadlines, refunds, customs receipts, and economic timing; this metric alone does not assess tax fairness or economic effects. Status: MTS FYTD CANDIDATE CACHE REVIEW ONLY NOT MERGED CONDITIONAL AFTER HUMAN VALUE AND METHOD APPROVAL Scoring disabled |
| NDD-MET-031 | Fiscal year-to-date outlays compared with prior fiscal year-to-date outlays | $4.27 trillion | FY2026 YTD through April | +$124.5 billion (+3.0%) | FY2026 YTD through April vs FY2025 YTD through April | Lower outlays can reduce fiscal pressure, but interpretation must consider program need, timing shifts, emergency spending, and payment-calendar effects. Context-only; not scored. | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data - Monthly Treasury Statement | Outlays can shift between months because of weekends, holidays, benefit-payment timing, emergency spending, and program-cycle effects. Status: MTS FYTD CANDIDATE CACHE REVIEW ONLY NOT MERGED CONDITIONAL AFTER HUMAN VALUE AND METHOD APPROVAL Scoring disabled |